A new USA Today/Gallup poll has McCain up 10% - a likely bounce due to the GOP convention and Palin
pick.
Time to pack my bags and move to Canada....:(
Quote: WASHINGTON — The Republican National Convention has given John
McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as
running mate Sarah Palin helps close an "enthusiasm gap" that has dogged the GOP all year.
McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest
advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention
opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.
The convention bounce has helped not only McCain but also attitudes toward Republican congressional
candidates and the GOP in general.
"The Republicans had a very successful convention and, at least initially, the selection of Sarah
Palin has made a big difference," says political scientist Larry Sabato of the University of
Virginia. "He's in a far better position than his people imagined he would be in at this
point."
However, in an analysis of the impact of political conventions since 1960, Sabato concluded that
post-convention polls signal the election's outcome only about half the time. "You could flip a
coin and be about as predictive," he says. "It is really surprising how quickly convention memories
fade."
FIND MORE STORIES IN: George W Bush | Barack Obama | John McCain | Republican National Convention |
University of Virginia | Joe Biden | Sarah Palin | Larry Sabato
McCain has narrowed Obama's wide advantage on handling the economy, by far the electorate's top
issue. Before the GOP convention, Obama was favored by 19 points; now he's favored by 3.
The Republican's ties to President Bush remains a vulnerability. In the poll, 63% say they are
concerned he would pursue policies too similar to those of the current president. Bush's approval
rating is 33%.
In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as
most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of
error of +/— 3 points for both samples.
Among the findings:
· Before the convention, Republicans by 47%-39% were less enthusiastic than usual about
voting. Now, they are more enthusiastic by 60%-24%, a sweeping change that narrows a key Democratic
advantage. Democrats report being more enthusiastic by 67%-19%.
· Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a national unknown before McCain chose her for the ticket 10 days
ago, draws a strong reaction from voters on both sides. Now, 29% say she makes them more likely to
vote for McCain, 21% less likely.
Obama's choice of Delaware Sen. Joe Biden as running mate made 14% more likely to vote for the
Democrat, 7% less likely.
· McCain's acceptance speech Thursday received lower ratings than the one Obama gave a week
earlier: 15% called McCain's speech "excellent" compared with 35% for Obama. Source:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politic...-07-poll_N.htm
Category: Business
Recommandations
)
and reject those that you are not interested in
(
)
