There is no joy at Yahoo, for mighty Jerry has struck out.
This week Yahoo cofounder Jerry Yang announced he was stepping down after 17 turbulent months as
CEO of the big Internet portal -- a time in which the company rebuffed a buyout offer from
Microsoft, flubbed an ad sales agreement with Google, and ended up being worth a third of its
former self when the rest of the market is down only 40 percent.
Jerry blew it.
And rare in the annals of public companies, JERRY blew it, nobody else. There is no blame to be
shared because the Chief Yahoo took his anti-Microsoft stand pretty much single-handed, having
bounced Terry Semel from the job in June 2007. Semel, who was more Hollywood than Silicon Valley
and never well suited for the job anyway, had backed the Microsoft deal. Freed from his duties at
Yahoo, Semel also voted with his brokerage account, selling a large number of company shares
while the selling was good.
If there is a lesson to be learned here it is not so much that Jerry was wrong, but that Jerry
was Jerry and that wasn't the right thing for Yahoo shareholders.
There are three seminal ideas that guided Jerry Yang, who is, after all, a diverted graduate
student who got on-the-job training in business. To understand these three ideas is to understand
Yahoo under Yang:
1) Microsoft is evil. Yang came of age in the Netscape era and saw Microsoft break the law to
destroy that company and try to control the Internet. Whatever its motivation, Microsoft did all
the bad things they were accused of and more and Yang could never forget or forgive that, even at
the cost of his own company. He took it personally.
2) The power of "no." There was a time in the 1990s when venture capitalists Kleiner Perkins and
Sequoia Capital were trying to get Excite and Yahoo -- their respective portals -- to merge in a
forced marriage designed to benefit only the VCs. It didn't feel right to Jerry, who put his foot
down and scotched the deal. It worked that time, so saying "no" became for Yang the default
position, especially after Broadcast.com.
3) Don't get screwed. When Yahoo bought Broadcast.com for $4.7 billion and it became clear that
Yang & Co. got almost nothing of value for their money, they resolved never to get screwed on
another deal again. That was the moment Yahoo embraced bureaucracy. They never made a quick
decision again and in many cases hardly made any decisions at all.
Mix these three concepts together, add independent wealth and a personal golf course, and you get
the Jerry Yang of today. He was inclined to say "no," couldn't embrace Microsoft's evil, and sure
as heck wasn't going to be screwed by Redmond, which he knew could never be trusted. As long as
Jerry was in command the deal would never happen -- and didn't.
Given all this it's a wonder Yang can remain with the company as he says he will. I couldn't do
it. He must feel like Ralph Nader. Or maybe that's exactly it; Jerry Yang, like Nader, still
doesn't get it.
The best thing Yang could have done for Yahoo shareholders was to sell the company to Microsoft.
He chose, instead, to do what he thought was best for the Yahoo COMPANY, which is weird given
that it no longer feels anything like it did back in those glory days. He threw away $20+ billion
just to preserve a memory.
Comcast's Cap
Hey, I have been thinking about Comcast's new 250-gigabyte monthly download cap and what to do
about it. Comcast, of course, is just trying to keep its top 2-3 percent of P2P gonzos from
ruining things for the rest of us. If a tiny minority of users are taking half the available
bandwidth, well they have to be somehow crushed (that's the theory). Comcast first tried slowing
down the miscreants, you'll remember, denied the company was doing that, then got busted by the
AP of all outfits. So now they'll try this new cap.
As a guy who sees a GRAND PLAN nearly everywhere, of course I see one here. Comcast says the new
cap will affect less than 5 percent of its users, but that's now. What happens in five years as
connections get faster and faster, Internet movie and video distribution explodes and the cap
doesn't rise comparably?
Remember wholesale bandwidth costs are dropping by 50 percent per year and have been for the last
decade, so Comcast's costs get cheaper and cheaper while at the same time more and more users
will impinge on the bandwidth cap. If 5 percent are in violation today, that will be 10 percent a
year from now, 20 percent two years from now and 40 percent three years from now, unless Comcast
raises the cap.
I think they won't raise the cap but will rather introduce paid bandwidth as an alternative tier
and get us to start paying a la carte for those parts of our Internet experience that Comcast
might presently view as under-compensated entertainment products. It's just a way for Comcast to
benefit financially from third-party and user-generated content.
So maybe a little civil disobedience is in order.
That 250 gig bandwidth cap, while more than 95 percent of current users require, only comes down
to 3-4 days of wide open bit-pumping on a cable modem. Why not build a utility that takes all
participating users to 249 gigs per month? Even a 5 percent participation rate among Comcast
users would take the network to its knees and possibly force a more respectful attitude from the
cable company.
But hey, it's just an idea.
Cringely's Future
Finally, readers have been asking what I'll be doing after this gig ends on December 15th.
Frankly, I have no idea, but as a guy with kids ages six, four, and two, I can assure you I'm not
retiring. Guys like me don't retire, we just get lots of life insurance and work until we die.
It might not make sense to hurl myself unemployed into the worst financial crisis in 80 years,
but sometimes a guy just has to do what a guy has to do. Besides, as someone who has been fired
from EVERY JOB I'VE EVER HELD, this might be my last and only chance to actually quit something.
I'll land somewhere, you can be sure, probably with NerdTV and my Moon shot in tow. And I'm open
to ideas. Just nothing very illegal, okay?