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Guardian Unlimited -
11 hours and 1 minutes ago
divimg alt=""
src="http://hits.guardian.co.uk/b/ss/guardiangu-feeds/1/H.15.1/22782?ns=guardianpageName=Business%3A+Is+this+the+final+death+knell+for+Citigroup%3Fch=Businessc3=The+Observerc4=Citigroup%2CRecession+%28UK%29%2CBusiness%2CObserverc5=Credit+Crunch%2CNot+commercially+useful%2CBusiness+Marketsc6=Heather+Connonc7=2008_11_23c8=1122435c9=articlec10=GUc11=Businessc12=Citigroupc13=c14=h2=GU%2FBusiness%2FCitigroup"
width="1" height="1" //divpVikram Pandit, chief executive of US bank Citigroup, started last week
by telling the group's staff that 52,000 of them would lose their jobs. A few days later, it looked
as if he could soon be following them. The bank's share price halved in just four days and
continued to slide as investors and rivals started to bet it could not survive the financial
crisis, despite a chorus of protests from its executives, one of its leading investors and some
high-profile analysts./ppAs the bank's executives staged a crisis board meeting, rumours swirled
around Wall Street that it was preparing to ditch its Smith Barney brokerage business, or to sell
off its cards business. Or that it would need an extra $100bn (pound;68bn) from the government, on
top of the $25bn that it already has; or that Pandit's fellow directors were calling for his head.
Others said it was poised to merge with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs - or, indeed, any bank with
the financial capacity to absorb it. /ppBut as Pandit appeared to rule out a Smith Barney sale and
putative buyers like Britain's HSBC - one of the few global banks with the wherewithal to stage a
rescue - made it clear they were not interested, the crisis intensified./pp'It's fear and panic at
this point,' said Gerard Cassidy, a banking analyst at RBC Capital Markets in Portland, Maine.
'Investors have seen similar movies this year, and the endings are very unpleasant.'/ppPandit told
key employees on Friday morning that they should not focus on the falling share price as that was
not what concerned regulators and rating agencies. Instead, he said, they should remember that it
has a solid capital position and a good business model./ppUnfortunately, however, the market was
beginning to suspect he was wrong on both counts: and his warning of job cuts was one of the things
that brought those concerns to the fore./ppWhile rivals like JP Morgan, Bank of America and Wells
Fargo have taken advantage of the financial crisis to make government-brokered acquisitions of Bear
Sterns, Merrill Lynch and Wachovia respectively, Citi has missed out. These moves gave its
investment banking rivals the much stronger balance sheets of deposit-taking banks. When the deals
are completed, these three will be the only US banks with more than $600bn in deposits, three times
that of Citi. Pandit must regret having allowed Wachovia, with which it had agreed a deal, to
defect to Wells Fargo. The $400bn of deposits it would have brought would have significantly
bolstered its financial strength./ppInstead, last week's announcement of job cuts - which will
affect a fifth of the workforce and, some insiders fear, even more to come in the future - made it
clear that Citi's only real option now is to shrink its business, whether by shedding staff or
selling businesses. Neither is particularly palatable: a workforce which is concerned about who is
going to be next out of the door is unlikely to be productive. Nor will it be easy to sell any of
its businesses: apart from a lack of buyers with the cash to pay for them, the prospects for
financial business profits are grim in the teeth of a global recession and a race to reduce debt by
consumers and businesses alike. David Trone, an analyst at Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochran Caronia Waller,
wrote in a note last Wednesday that, although the sale of more assets was crucial to 'fortify the
capital base,' it is unclear whether Citi 'will be able to continue to find buyers'. /ppAs
significant as the job cuts was the announcement two days later that Citi had completed its
withdrawal from SIVs - structured investment vehicles investing mainly in sub-prime mortgages,
which have proved to be some of the most toxic assets in the financial crisis - by taking
pound;17.4bn of them from one of its subsidiaries on to its own books. That made investors worry
about two things: first, that by taking on the SIVs, Citi was effectively admitting that it would
be one of the biggest losers from the US Treasury's decision to abandon its TARP programme, under
which it had committed to buying the worst of these toxic assets from the big US banks./ppAnd
second, without that support, Citi would be forced to make yet more swingeing write-downs. It has
already written off more than $70bn this year alone and is the only one of the big US banks to have
made losses in four consecutive quarters - the latest was more than $2.8bn. /ppIt is a far cry from
the swaggering Citigroup created by Sandy Weill, one-time chairman and chief executive of the bank.
At the peak of its fortunes in 2006, its $205bn of annual revenues eclipsed those of countries like
New Zealand and made it the 50th largest company in the world, with operations stretching across
the globe - including one of the largest operations in Asia by a Western bank. But a series of
regulatory breaches exposed the difficulties of managing such a sprawling and gung-ho investment
banking empire, and led to Weill's replacement as chief executive by Chuck Prince. /ppHe proved
himself as ebullient as his predecessor: when the financial markets were starting to show signs of
strain in July 2007, he told the Financial Times: 'As long as the music is playing, you've got to
get up and dance. We're still dancing.' /ppThat aggressive expansion into the teeth of the downturn
was one of the factors which led to him being replaced by Pandit, but the former Morgan Stanley
executive has not had an easy start. While he has been much more aggressive about writing down
assets than many of our British banks, some have questioned whether he has the strength of will to
rein in the global empire, or the vision to determine where its future lies./ppHis presentation to
staff was full of platitudes about the future of its business like: 'Today, our strategy is simple:
To be the world's truly global universal bank.' And on its financial strength: 'Over the past 15
months, Citi has added approximately $75bn in new capital, including approximately $50bn through
public and private offerings.'/ppBut the bank ended the week worth less than a third of the amount
it has raised this year alone. And even a robust statement of support from one of Citigroup's
biggest shareholders, the Saudi prince Al-Waleed Bin Talal - accompanied by a $350m investment in
the bank's shares - failed to have any impact on its decline. /ppLadenburg Thalmann's Dick Bove,
one of the most influential banking analysts in the US, said in a note: 'I see no reason why
[Citigroup should fail]. The only reason banks fail is because their cash flows turn negative and
it does not appear that this is likely at this bank. This is because the bank is able to roll over
its liabilities and because its net interest income is positive./pp'It would take a Depression
every bit as large and long as the Thirties debacle to shake this company's viability.' /ppThe
trouble is, that some commentators are now starting to worry whether we could be in for something
worse than a Thirties-style depression as unemployment continues to rise and America's car giants
look in danger of joining the list of casualties, risking putting many more millions out of work.
/ppIn that climate, no amount of reassurance from analysts or bosses is enough to stem the
panic./pdiv style="float: left; margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"ullia
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Guardian Unlimited -
11 hours and 4 minutes ago
divimg alt=""
src="http://hits.guardian.co.uk/b/ss/guardiangu-feeds/1/H.15.1/15804?ns=guardianpageName=World+news%3A+Somalia+sinks+deeper+into+a+state+of+total+disintegrationch=World+newsc3=The+Observerc4=Somalia+%28News%29%2CHuman+rights+%28News%29%2CPiracy+%28Film%29%2CWorld+news%2CObserverc5=Not+commercially+useful%2CFilm+Reviewsc6=Peter+Beaumontc7=2008_11_23c8=1122486c9=articlec10=GUc11=World+newsc12=Somaliac13=c14=h2=GU%2FWorld+news%2FSomalia"
width="1" height="1" //divpZam Zam Abdi fled Mogadishu after being threatened with death by the
hardline Islamist militia - the Shabab. The message from the armed group once allied to the Union
of Islamic Courts, the coalition that briefly seized power in 2006, was simple: if she continued
working for her women's rights organisation in the Somali capital, she would be killed. The warning
was posted on her office gates. But it is what happened to a friend and colleague, working for
another organisation, that persuaded her to escape. He was shot dead and the same note left on his
body./pp'Most of us had to leave,' she said. 'We had emails and phone calls telling us to stop
working. They used an expression famous in Somalia: Falka aad ku jirtid maka baxeeysa. May ama haa?
It means - "Stop what you are doing or we will act. Yes or no?" Then someone spoke on the radio - a
local leader called Sheikh Mahmoud - delivering the same warning.'/ppZam Zam, 28, separates the
chaos and violence that has pervaded her country since the overthrow of President Mohamed Siad
Barre in 1991 into 'ordinary Mogadishu' and 'not ordinary'. 'Ordinary', in Zam Zam's definition,
describes her country's persistent clan warfare, even the heavy fighting in the city that drove her
to leave before with her daughter when Ethiopian troops - supporting the internationally recognised
government - shelled her neighbourhood in 2006 to drive the Islamic Courts out after six months in
power. /ppIn the ordinary violence and chaos, Zam Zam and her colleagues could still work,
negotiating with the clan warlords. In common with the UN, Zam Zam believes that what is happening
now is something else. Something terrible, exceeding perhaps even the bloodsoaked chaotic days of
the early 1990s when Somalia was last plunged into anarchy./ppIt is Mogadishu that symbolises what
is happening. A large proportion of its population - already jobless, hungry and surviving on aid -
has fled the fighting in the city between the Shabab and the forces of the country's weak and
rapidly imploding government, backed by its Ethiopian allies. The streets are stalked by assassins,
kidnappers and suicide bombers. And the Shabab is threatening to overrun the country's south and
centre. /ppIf what is happening is a disaster, it is a disaster hardly noticed by the world. Yet it
has not only been human rights workers who have been attacked. Government officials, politicians
and journalists, anyone who does not fit in with the Shabab's world view, have been threatened and
killed, mostly for being tainted by Western ideas. 'When the leadership of the Islamic Courts fled
in 2006, the Shabab became more independent,' said Zam Zam. /ppFor humanitarian workers, problems
were exacerbated when one of the Shabab's leaders, accused also of being a leader of al-Qaeda, was
killed in a US air strike in late spring in the town of Dusa Mareeb. 'When the US hit Shabab
hideouts they started seeing us as being spies of the West. If people were kidnapped they would ask
to see our laptops before releasing us to see what information we held on them.'/ppWhile the world
has focused on the rampant piracy problem afflicting the Gulf of Aden, which saw yet another tanker
held for ransom last week, the seizing of ships is only a symptom of a much more terrifying
malaise./ppWhat it points to is the wholesale failure of a state and the international community's
abandonment of the Somalia problem except where it affects its interests - in terms of shipping
trade and the 'war on terror' for the West and on a more local scale for the regional interests of
Ethiopia and Eritrea./ppLast week, however, the African Union Commission's chairman, Jean Ping,
reiterated what many are convinced of: that the piracy problem is inseparable from Somalia's
caustic political and security problems. 'Piracy is an extension on the sea of the problem you are
facing on the land ... [it] is an important aspect of all the disorder you already have in Somali
territory,' he said./ppSomalia is not so much a failed state as one that is atomising. Forty-three
per cent of the country is in dire need of humanitarian assistance, about 3.2 million people at the
last count. There are 1.3 million internally displaced, 100,000 of them fleeing the fighting in
Mogadishu alone since the beginning of September. Inflation is running at 1,600 per cent. One in
six children in southern and central Somalia is acutely malnourished./ppDozens of aid workers, most
of them locals, have been murdered this year, largely by members of the Shabab. According to the
Shabab, even locals who take money from the UN are therefore in the pay of foreign interests and
enemies to be killed./ppMogadishu and other centres have been hit by suicide attacks - merely one
aspect of an intensely violent society. There is the religious conflict between the factions of the
Islamic Courts allied to the Shabab and those they regard as insufficiently Islamic. Then there are
the ever-present clan conflicts, at the centre of which is the rivalry between the Hawiye and the
Darod groups. Added to this is the battle between the Transitional Federal government backed by
Ethiopia and the Islamic Courts./ppThese conflicts are underscored by complex, interleaving
rivalries even within the Islamist factions which have pitted the Shabab - literally the 'Youth' -
against the more moderate Djibouti faction. On top of all this has been the mushrooming of criminal
activity, piracy, smuggling and people-trafficking, some of it linked to groups such as the Shabab.
Foreign jihadi fighters have also been attracted into the chaos. The consequence has been a
disaster. /pp'The situation is very serious,' said a Mogadishu businessman who spoke to The
Observer on Friday asking not to be identified for fear of being targeted by one of the rival
groups. 'A lot of the population has fled from the city. Some areas are deserted and it is very
difficult and dangerous. There are no jobs. People are only surviving on the food provided at the
kitchens of the aid organisations. Others get money sent from their relatives overseas. /pp'The
military loyal to the government are looting. They are taking mobiles from people and committing
other crimes. Then there are the different factions of the resistance who call themselves names
like the Union of Islamic Courts or Islamic Jihad. Last week the Shabab took two more towns. This
is the worst situation since the civil war began,' he added. 'You don't know who will attack or
kill you.' /ppAnd despite the advances on the battlefield made by the Shabab, he does not believe
that the period of calm and order enjoyed in Somalia in 2006 when the Islamic Courts first took
over would be replicated if the Islamist groups won once more. 'This time it will be worse,' he
said. 'The Courts replaced the clan warlords but had no ideas for the future and were driven back.
This time the Islamic groups will fight among themselves. This time we will have Islamic warlords.
They will fight and there will be more difficult problems.'/ppSomalia's tragedy has been a slow,
deadly and divisive affair that has ground out over the years since the fall of the socialist state
founded by Siad Barre in 1991. Its roots, at least partly, are to be found in his disastrous war to
seize the Ogaden region of Ethiopia, an adventure that would lead to eventual defeat for Somalia's
forces and the beginning of Ethiopia's long history of interference in Somalia, which saw it arm
the warlords who brought Siad Barre down./ppDespite the overthrow of his authoritarian regime, the
rival clans responsible for his downfall could not agree on a replacement, leading to lawlessness
and social collapse. The result was a country that, when confronted with famine, was unable to
cope, leading to the deaths of more than a million of its people. /ppWhile the rest of the world
knows Somalia for the intervention by American and Pakistani troops as part of Operation Restore
Hope in 1993, for Somalis the country's story has been told in clan strife and repeated failures -
14 to date - to establish a government whose writ runs throughout the state. /ppThe most recent
effort was the establishment of the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) in Djibouti in 2004 whose
authority was quickly challenged by the Islamic Courts, which emerged out of the port city of
Kismayo and sought to establish a strict interpretation of sharia law before being driven out by
Ethiopian troops who intervened on behalf of the TFG. /ppWhile the rule of the Islamic Courts was,
by most Somali accounts, a period of relative calm, it is what has happened since that has driven
Somalia towards a new catastrophe. Despite a peace deal between one of the factions of the Islamic
Courts and the TFG, the Courts' former militia, the Shabab, has split apart - with the most
militant faction responsible for the most violence, in particular those who look to the leadership
of Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys, a hardline Salafist said to be close to al-Qaeda./ppThe outcome so
many Somalis feared has already come to pass in large areas of south-central Somalia that have
fallen under the control of the country's reinvented militant Islamist movement. In recent days its
fighters have captured two more towns close to the capital, including Elasha, nine miles south of
Mogadishu. In Elasha in recent days rival Islamist groups have already clashed
violently./ppElsewhere, the Shabab is already consolidating its victories, including in Marka,
capital of the Lower Shabele region. Speaking to a crowd in Marka, Muktar Robow - known as 'Abu
Mansur' - a spokesman for the Shabab said the group had come to secure the region against
foreigners and criminals./ppAccording to the community-based station Radio Garowe, in the north of
the country, he said that the Shabab intended to establish an Islamic court to administer justice,
adding: 'We will not allow the citizens to be oppressed again.'/ppMilitarily, it is a situation so
bleak for the forces of the TFG and its Ethiopian allies that President Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed
admitted two weeks ago that Islamists now control most of Somalia, raising the prospect that his
government could completely collapse. 'We are only in Mogadishu and Baidoa, where there is daily
war,' he said. /ppThat leaves a fundamental question: will the Shabab press its advantage to
attempt to take Mogadishu once again? On Friday the indication was that it might be its intention,
as the capital saw one of the fiercest gun battles in recent weeks when Islamist fighters attacked
the house of a local government official, leaving 17 dead. /ppThe Islamist factions have also
become increasingly bold in recent weeks, with their spokesmen in Mogadishu regularly holding news
conferences and carrying out floggings in the parts of the capital they control, whereas only a few
months ago they were careful not to be seen in the open./ppDespite the high profile of the Shabab
in recent weeks, some analysts believe that it may be content with the chaos in Mogadishu that has
bogged down the contingent of African peacekeepers as well as Somali-Ethiopian troops. They
believe, too, that the Shabab is wary of the several thousand Ethiopian troops who defeated them
before./ppFears over what would happen if the Islamists were to take the capital and impose sharia
law across the south were underlined by a single incident at the beginning of the month - the
stoning to death for adultery of a 13-year-old rape victim, Aisha Ibrahim Duhulow, in Kismayo. 'You
know how bad it is getting,' said Zam Zam, 'when a 13-year-old is stoned to death. Then you know
that it is really scary.'/pp'Somalia in general and Mogadishu is in the midst of a deep political,
humanitarian and security crisis,' said Asha Haji Elmi, an MP and activist and delegate to the
UN-led peace process, who fled before the Ethiopian advance in 2006. Now based in Nairobi, she
remains in daily contact with people in Somalia. /pp'They talk to me about a precarious situation,
and it is civilians who are paying the heaviest price, especially women and children. It is
unbelievable. There are internally displaced spread everywhere. There is no secure place.'/ppShe
forcefully rejects any new attempt to impose a military solution on her country: 'The solution is
political. It requires dialogue. That is the only symbol of hope. A military solution cannot be the
answer to the problem. Everyone who has tried to solve Somalia's problems by force has
failed.'/ph2A short and bloody history/h2pstrong1960/strong Britain withdraws from British
Somaliland, making way for a union with Italian Somaliland. The new country is known as the Somali
Republic./ppstrong1969/strong A coup launched by Mohamed Siad Barre ushers in a period of
increasingly authoritarian rule. /ppstrong1977 /strongSiad Barre invades the Ethiopian territory of
Ogaden in a bid to create a Greater Somalia. The Soviet Union and Cuba back Ethiopia.
/ppstrong1991/strong Siad Barre is deposed by warlords, largely from the south, armed and supported
by Ethiopia. The country descends into factional fighting. In May the northern clans declare an
independent Republic of Somalia./ppstrong1993/strong Facing an appalling famine, the UN launches a
humanitarian effort led by US and Pakistani troops. Thwarted by General Mohamed Farah Aideed, the
mission suffers casualties, including the episode described in the film Black Hawk Down, above
right, when 17 US Rangers were killed - and the UN mission leaves in 1995 in the wake of the US
withdrawal./ppstrong2004/strong The two-year peace process concludes in the establishment of the
Transitional Federal Government. It never manages to establish real authority. /ppstrong2006/strong
A coalition of businessmen, clerics and militias known as the Union of Islamic Courts sweeps to
power. Ethiopia, encouraged by the US, intervenes to support the TFG and drives back the Courts,
claiming they are allied to al-Qaeda's East African network./ppstrong2008/strong With the
leadership of the Courts in exile, a resurgent Islamist movement, focused on the hardline Shabab
militia group, makes gains throughout the country, threatening Mogadishu and Baidoa by
November./pdiv style="float: left; margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"ullia
href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/somalia"Somalia/a/lilia
href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/humanrights"Human rights/a/lilia
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MAKE Magazine -
1 days and 15 hours ago
The fine folks at Robots.net have started up a robot-friendly version of EMS Labs' TGIMBOEJ (The
Great Internet Migratory Box of Electronic Junk) project. Looks like there's some juicy junk in
there. I definitely have some amazing robot parts to add. Hell, I got bots I could toss in the
box. Semi-cannibalized B.I.O.-Bugs, anyone?
TGIMBOEJ for DIY Roboticists Launched!
More:
a href="http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2008/11/tgimboej_robot_edition.html?CMP=OTC-0D6B48984890"
/Read more/a | a
href="http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2008/11/tgimboej_robot_edition.html?CMP=OTC-0D6B48984890" /
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/Comments/a | a href="http://blog.makezine.com/archive/toolbox/?CMP=OTC-0D6B48984890" /Read more
articles in Toolbox/a | a
href="http://digg.com/submit?url=blog.makezine.com%2Farchive%2F2008%2F11%2Ftgimboej_robot_edition.htmltitle=TGIMBOEJ%3A%20robot%20editionbodytext=%20The%20fine%20folks%20at%20Robots.net%20have%20started%20up%20a%20robot-friendly%20version%20of%20EMS%20Labs%26apos%3B%20TGIMBOEJ%20%28The%20Great%20Internet%20Migratory%20Box%20of%20Electronic%20Junk%29%20project.%20Looks%20like%20there%26apos%3Bs%20some%20juicy%20junk%20in%20there.%20I%20definitely%20have%20some%20amazing%20robot%20parts...topic=tech_news"
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